Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.04661 at 15 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.04093 at 16 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.04092743540203506 / 0.04661390541352114 − 1 = -12.2%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -12.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology