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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 Jun 2026, 15:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

Bear market retests are surgically precise. 2014: -28.13% capitulation before the bottom. 2026: -28.20% capitulation loading. The chart doesn't lie. It just makes you wait for the proof. Bitcoin is in the retest phase. Not the bottom phase. When the flush completes: Then comes the moonshot. First the flush. Then the rally. Patience is key.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Everyone asks: "Should I buy Bitcoin at $60K or wait for $50K?" The better question is: Will you care about a $10K difference when Bitcoin is above $150K? This is why I DCA and position early for the next bull run. https://t.co/RyAl6idcut”Repeat13 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC
“I'm on a mission to turn $250,000 into $1,000,000. The next bull run could be life-changing. I'm sharing the entire journey in real time. Let's smash this bull run together 👇 https://t.co/DzJxqET6uO”Repeat13 Jun 2026, 13:01 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin is in the retest phase.”
Confidence: 91%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record