Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,494 at 11 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,943 at 12 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 63942.81 / 62493.79 − 1 = +2.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology