Prediction evidence

Not necessarily. It may be evolving. My view is that BTC could be in a broader macro bearish phase, with strong rallies in between (like the one I'm expecting now). But if 2026-2028 remains mostly bearish and real recovery starts around the next halving, I'd see that as a distorted cycle. Kind of like music: you can still have a 4-beat rhythm, but every few bars the structure can shift.