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Published 10 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
THE BIGGEST LIQUIDITY RISK TO BITCOIN NEXT WEEK ISN'T THE FED. IT'S JAPAN. 🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan is expected to hike to 1% on June 16, the highest since 1995. Markets price it at over 90%. Here's why crypto should care. Every major BoJ hike since 2024 has been followed by a Bitcoin correction, ranging from roughly 20% to over 30%. The mechanism is the yen carry trade. Cheap yen funds risk assets globally. When Japan tightens, that funding unwinds, and high-beta assets like Bitcoin feel it first. Not a prediction. A risk worth watching, into an already weak market.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 65696.96 / 62580.66 − 1 = +5.0%d × r = -5.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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