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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

That Martini Guy ₿

@MartiniGuyYT

Solana is in big trouble It has broken down on the weekly and is now within the highly illiquid zone Historically, SOL has moved very fast through this region of $40 to $80 and vice versa If it does so again, it could soon land close to the $40 mark It also isn't out of the question for Solana to backtest $25 if things get significantly worse

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $63.58 at 10 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65.32 at 11 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 65.32 / 63.58 − 1 = +2.7%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Solana is in big trouble”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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