Published 9 Jun 2026, 22:46 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
My thesis is that this won't be a normal bear market. Previous cycles didn't have AI accelerating at this pace. Previous cycles didn't have the same recession risks hanging over the global economy. AI isn't necessarily bullish for crypto. If anything, it could accelerate exploits, hacks, scams, and ultimately erode trust across the industry. Then there's the supply side. Sooner or later, large leveraged players like Saylor will be tested. And if forced selling ever arrives, it won't be good for the market. My personal view remains the same: We eventually revisit COVID-era levels across most of crypto. Including Bitcoin. Most people think that's impossible. That's exactly why it's worth considering.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 61319.2 / 61682.05 − 1 = -0.6%d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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