Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.02913 at 8 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.02806 at 9 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.028064832048464664 / 0.02913491443617034 − 1 = -3.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology