Published 7 Jun 2026, 21:10 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
I hate to say it, but if Bitcoin doesn't bounce soon, the next few weeks could confirm the start of the first true long-term bear market in its history. The trend that has been in place since 2017 is on the verge of breaking. And if this scenario plays out, I can already tell you what comes next: The next halving will be the first one that fails to produce a new all-time high. Most people aren't even considering that possibility. They should.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 65280.67 / 61748.63 − 1 = +5.7%d × r = -5.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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