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Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Jun 2026, 16:46 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Byzantine General

@ByzGeneral

Some of the most brutal selling I've ever seen on a chart, and longs just keep getting rinsed over and over again. Not sure where this bottoms out, but it probably needs a -80% (getting there). $MEGA https://t.co/hIonsaB2aZ

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $MEGA price at or after publication, $0.00003407 at 7 Jun 2026, 16:46 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.00003407 at 8 Jun 2026, 16:46 UTC.
r = 0.00003407147121286955 / 0.00003407147121286955 − 1 = 0.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = 0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $MEGA ($MEGA)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$MEGA https://t.co/hIonsaB2aZ”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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