Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Jun 2026, 09:04 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

_Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️

@_Checkmatey_

In reply to · 6 Jun 2026, 22:32 UTC · context given to the AI

@_checkonchain @_Checkmatey_ Didn’t you say the bottom was in last week? 🤣🤣🤣 Bitcoin always does that to pundits.

@StaunchOrange @_checkonchain It's the same price as Feb low mate, and Ive been very explicit that an undercut of that level was the expected result.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@StaunchOrange @_checkonchain It's the same price as Feb low mate, and Ive been very explicit that an undercut of that level was the expected result.”
Confidence: 46%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (46%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3