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Published 7 Jun 2026, 07:55 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
swarmik
@swarmister
Quoting · 9 May 2026, 14:41 UTC · context given to the AI
DXY/USDT.DBTCUSD + $USDT.C.D + DXY/USDT.DETHUSD + $BTC.D. (This is for analyzing $BTC and altcoins) Most often, the bottom formed when we dipped below this imaginary orange line and traded there for a while. Now we’ve simply broken through it and bounced back, without a full-fledged drop below it. The same pattern is visible in another zone. Historically, the bottom appeared when we fell below the level and consolidated there. Now we’ve reached it, bounced off, but didn’t actually go down. In other words, essentially, the bottom hasn’t formed yet. Regarding USDT dominance, I had noted a scenario where we were supposed to rise into the green zone, then drop into the red zone and trade there. Yes, due to Bitcoin’s rise, USDT dominance has declined slightly, but ultimately I expect a drop into the red zone, which corresponds to Bitcoin around the 85k mark. And from there, a full-scale decline in USDT dominance will begin, down to around 9.5%. The picture is similar for the DXY divided by USDT dominance. That is exactly where, in my opinion, the final bottom will form. According to one indicator, it should be here; according to another, roughly in the same range. Everything aligns: the dominance teaser, DXY/Bitcoin, etc. If you look at BTC dominance, which I charted back around 2025, I had a pattern labeled “asset grab from the downers.” The logic is simple. When the market crashes, Bitcoin will fall less than the rest of the shitty altcoins. Its dominance will grow because the market is buying up Bitcoin, while the altcoins will continue to plummet. And now, it seems to me, this very stage is beginning. Bitcoin could rise to 85k, but after that, the market will most likely crash again. And at that point, the altcoins will plummet even further, while Bitcoin will fall less. As a result, Bitcoin will become even more expensive relative to altcoins than it is now. And the altcoins stuffed in those idiots’ wallets will continue to lose value in dollar terms.A huge, VERY important post. Update: DXY/USDT.DBTCUSD + $USDT.C.D + DXY/USDT.DETHUSD + $BTC.D. (This is for analyzing $BTC and altcoins) So, we’ve entered the zone via USDT.C.D dominance. The dominance teaser chart is relevant; generally, the alt market’s downtrend should begin in this triangle. Though, I still allow for a scenario based on the dominance teaser where, after the sideways movement in the triangle, we’ll break out not down but up, meaning BTC will go lower The thesis is simple: for many, the 60k zone on BTC is the bottom, where a massive amount of liquidity will be gathered: retards, their bots, junk, ultra-low-balance accounts, etc, everyone will believe that 60k is the absolute bottom. Like, last time it was the bottom, so why wouldn’t it rise from here, right? They’re going to get screwed. Dude, it’s a tasty morsel of suckers that the market needs to gobble up and digest The 11% zone on USDT.D is like the market’s final bottom, where a dead cat bounce is already possible. DXY/USDT.DBTCUSD + DXY/USDT.DETHUSD We’re also in that zone I told you about. Bitcoin has also just started its move; I expect the bottom to be in the 40-50k range, or maybe even lower. In any case, I don’t see a global reversal here at all. Pay attention to HOW accurately this indicator works. Yes, we are in the zone where altcoins are finally starting to die out, which is also the zone we need. In my opinion, the ABSOLUTE bottom will come when Bitcoin, even though it will be cheap (40-50), is STILL more expensive relative to altcoins. That’s the update. Thirty days have passed, and I was right.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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