Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Jun 2026, 18:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

In reply to · 6 Jun 2026, 18:54 UTC · context given to the AI

@BigCheds @great_martis Yes, could be. But "Bitcoin to $10K" is a bit far-fetched.

@mmcmahon09 @great_martis Bottom will be 35-45k I’ve been clear on this

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@mmcmahon09 @great_martis Bottom will be 35-45k I’ve been clear on this”
Confidence: 60%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (60%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3