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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Jun 2026, 18:41 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC continues to clear the downside liquidity. It's not complete yet, so don't expect a V-shape recovery. https://t.co/M9XPSCzgyO

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,602 at 6 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,998 at 7 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 61998.26 / 60602.1 − 1 = +2.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time