Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,570 at 6 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,619 at 7 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 1619.4 / 1570.4 − 1 = +3.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology