Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Jun 2026, 09:19 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH dropped to $1,500 level today. This is the zone I predicted last month, and it has now happened. I expect Ethereum to consolidate around this level, which will act as a strong base for the next big move. https://t.co/OO2QnUWnw4

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,570 at 6 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,633 at 7 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 1632.81 / 1569.88 − 1 = +4.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +4.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH dropped to $1,500 level today.”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction