Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Jun 2026, 15:52 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

In reply to · 5 Jun 2026, 15:48 UTC · context given to the AI

@BigCheds are you accumulating on the way down or waiting for the cycle bottom zone? @BigCheds NFA of course

@danstinga $BTC will bottom $37800

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,388 at 5 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $60,748 at 6 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 60748.14 / 60387.86 − 1 = +0.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time