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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2062837771136647222:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Jun 2026, 10:03 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

I still think a BTC bounce is coming https://t.co/1Dw0G7VKud

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,478 at 5 Jun 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $60,554 at 6 Jun 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 60554.02 / 62477.8 − 1 = -3.08%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.08% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I still think a BTC bounce is coming https://t.co/1Dw0G7VKud”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$62,478

Evaluation price

$60,554

Move

-3.08%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 00:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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