Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,216 at 4 Jun 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,641 at 5 Jun 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 61641.22 / 63215.61 − 1 = -2.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology