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Published 4 Jun 2026, 10:21 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC
PlanB
@100trillionUSD
Quoting · 1 Jun 2026, 07:30 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin closed May at $73,568 Market is 50/50 on if Febryary $60k was the bottom, or the bear will continue. IMO data is telling us that we have not seen bottom formation yet, and that there is a >50% probablility that we go lower (below 200wma $61k or realized price $53k). https://t.co/4uxdxH5oGA✅ below 200w moving average (black line) 🔳 below realized price (grey line $53k) ... https://t.co/U4QoTaNBNyView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 62477.8 / 62343.19 − 1 = +0.22%d × r = -0.22% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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