Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Jun 2026, 01:29 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:37 UTC

moon

@MoonOverlord

Quoting · 4 Jun 2026, 01:28 UTC · context given to the AI

Saylor sold 32 Bitcoin and we went down -$20,000

if he sells the other 843,706 Bitcoin he owns we'll be at approximately -$527,316,250 per Bitcoin https://t.co/afPMNm47Ja

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “if he sells the other 843,706 Bitcoin he owns we'll be at approximately -$527,316,250 per Bitcoin https://t.co/afPMNm47Ja”
Confidence: 42%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (42%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3