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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Jun 2026, 20:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Mayne

@Tradermayne

bitcoin:native Bounce it just high enough for people to get excited then the real flush. Not sure if we are that lucky but I'd be looking to fade any decent rally. https://t.co/2OIwRJi2Vd

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,909 at 3 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,571 at 4 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 63571.11 / 64909 − 1 = -2.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “bitcoin:native”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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