Published 3 Jun 2026, 15:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
WARNING: JUNE IS STATISTICALLY THE SECOND-WORST MONTH IN BITCOIN HISTORY. 🇺🇸 Average June return: -0.77%. Median: -0.49%. Only September has been worse. This June is already running far past that. Down -8.97% on the month and we're barely into it, right after May closed red exactly as the seasonal data warned. The pattern I flagged for May didn't stop in May. Respect it or fight it. The data doesn't care which.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63813.58 / 65970.62 − 1 = -3.3%d × r = +3.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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