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Leaderboard / @KookCapitalLLC / 2062110567578415158:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Jun 2026, 09:54 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

Ko

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

resuming my $btc dca under $70k historically, the best times to buy bitcoin have been when everyone agrees its over its not over https://t.co/AAu4qtPVIW

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $66,972 at 3 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,186 at 4 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 63186.41 / 66971.84 − 1 = -5.65%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.65% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “resuming my $btc dca under $70k”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: incorrect

Baseline price

$66,972

Evaluation price

$63,186

Move

-5.65%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 15:11 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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