Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.03336 at 3 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.03354 at 4 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.033540821895203035 / 0.033362804190038876 − 1 = +0.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology