Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,862 at 3 Jun 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,758 at 4 Jun 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 1757.56 / 1861.84 − 1 = -5.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology