Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jun 2026, 16:25 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Byzantine General

@ByzGeneral

In reply to · 1 Jun 2026, 15:35 UTC · context given to the AI

I expect a bounce at 70k, but I plan on holding this until 65k. bitcoin:native https://t.co/XBFoIk5BVm

Closed it. Even though I think that we're going lower still, continuing to hold on to this feels greedy. Also give @liquidtrading a try guys. I do all of my mobile trading there now. Ref for 10% discount: BYZGENERAL https://t.co/3ywCr4YWUx

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $67,296 at 2 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,962 at 3 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 65962.38 / 67296.18 − 1 = -2.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Closed it. Even though I think that we're going lower still, continuing to hold on to this feels greedy. Also give @liquidtrading a try guys. I do all of my mobile trading there now. Ref for 10% discount: BYZGENERAL https://t.co/3ywCr4YWUx”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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