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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jun 2026, 16:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Killa

@KillaXBT

I am buying $BTC & closing the swing short soon. Quite a important video. https://t.co/Z0UZK9qCGa https://t.co/5kqH2SlWvn

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $67,296 at 2 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,962 at 3 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 65962.38 / 67296.18 − 1 = -2.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time