Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jun 2026, 14:22 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

CryptoBusy

@CryptoBusy

Quoting · 23 May 2026, 19:01 UTC · context given to the AI

My next bitcoin:native support will be the white line. Could potentially bounce or breakdown from here. Watch out! https://t.co/RCKuzx2Ylv

$BTC has broken down from this key level! If you're shorting, congratulations! Don't catch a falling knife. Wait for $BTC to reset from here. https://t.co/flBlIgzFSA https://t.co/PriN6lvMd2

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $67,875 at 2 Jun 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $66,752 at 3 Jun 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 66752 / 67875.4 − 1 = -1.66%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.66% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC has broken down from this key level!”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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