Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jun 2026, 12:29 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Ignas

@DefiIgnas

In reply to · 2 Jun 2026, 12:14 UTC · context given to the AI

ZEC at 20% of Bitcoin’s market cap = $17,485 Current price: ~$553 That’s a 31x

@hedge__x yeah but btc will be 10k by then

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $68,904 at 2 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $66,985 at 3 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 66984.64 / 68903.79 − 1 = -2.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time