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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

$1.2 BILLION just disappeared from crypto. USDT market cap dropped overnight. Stablecoin supply is contracting. Last time we saw this scale of outflow? Right before Bitcoin crashed -33% in February. Bitcoin today: $73K and bleeding. The exit is happening in real-time. https://t.co/230grQh9kB

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Bitcoin just printed the same bearish reversal. Twice. First time: $97K into $74K (-24.14%). Now: $82K into $63K loading. Same setup. Same magnitude. Same outcome. The pattern is mathematically precise. https://t.co/CRbfGRZvHH”Repeat31 May 2026, 15:00 UTC
“Bitcoin top signal nobody is talking about: ZCASH PUMPS. 2018: ZEC +2,271% Bitcoin dumped -82%. 2021: ZEC +671% Bitcoin dumped -77%. 2026: ZEC +1,530% Bitcoin dumping -51% so far. Every ZEC pump marks a Bitcoin top. History or coincidence? https://t.co/XzeH9HaO1H”Repeat31 May 2026, 16:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Right before Bitcoin crashed -33% in February.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record