Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Jun 2026, 07:54 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Quoting · 31 May 2026, 17:10 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: Our traders forecast Bitcoin to reach a low of $55,000 https://t.co/5Pxbqf7pBW

$BTC last 2 major bottoms happened below 300W EMA, which currently sits at $58,400. This time won't be any different. https://t.co/dqkHoiq4US https://t.co/yIn4qhSWI7

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“$BTC is still in the macro downtrend. A new low before a new ATH. https://t.co/pWQnBtyGWm”Repeat31 May 2026, 17:37 UTC
“$BTC is now approaching a make-or-break level. A daily close below $70,000 and the downtrend will accelerate. https://t.co/DfBUkP5o7o”Repeat1 Jun 2026, 09:59 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC last 2 major bottoms happened below 300W EMA, which currently sits at $58,400.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record