Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 31 May 2026, 23:43 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Cold Blooded Shiller

@ColdBloodShill

Quoting · 27 May 2026, 19:13 UTC · context given to the AI

Blink and it'll be $100m https://t.co/veJ00V6sM5

OK so you definitely had time to blink, you even had some time to get in on -15% downside, but moving nicely for a cleaner breakout move now on $CARDS. 100milly https://t.co/rSNgH1n37j https://t.co/Ob4i19e2uW

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CARDS price at or after publication, $0.237 at 1 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.212 at 2 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 0.2119876913844186 / 0.23699115495436562 − 1 = -10.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -10.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CARDS ($CARDS)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “OK so you definitely had time to blink, you even had some time to get in on -15% downside, but moving nicely for a cleaner breakout move now on $CARDS.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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