Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,733 at 31 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $59,276 at 30 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 59276.02 / 73733.38 − 1 = -19.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +19.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology