Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 31 May 2026, 08:40 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$PUMP the time is getting closer and closer before unlocks happen...I thought this would start to pump bigtime before that happened but it hasn't happened yet. This coin has a few weeks left... https://t.co/pWVEwETwVp

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.001777 at 31 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $0.001464 at 30 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 0.0014638141628242345 / 0.0017770526724404212 − 1 = -17.63%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -17.63% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 30 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$PUMP the time is getting closer and closer before unlocks happen...I thought this would start to pump bigtime before that happened but it hasn't happened yet.”
Confidence: 62%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

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