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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 May 2026, 09:20 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is holding above the $2,000 level but it looks weak. Spot demand is fading, ETFs are selling and every small pump is getting retraced. Until Ethereum manages a strong daily close above the $2,050 level, the chances of a downside correction will go up. https://t.co/jqzmr4LKHy

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,014 at 30 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,018 at 31 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2018.29 / 2014.07 − 1 = +0.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH is holding above the $2,000 level but it looks weak.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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