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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 May 2026, 16:36 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC has 2 decent liquidity clusters right now. On the upside, there's one sitting around the $74,500-$75,000 level. On the downside, there's one around $72,000 level. IMO, Bitcoin will tap the upside liquidity before reversal. https://t.co/SKW9YDXzVw

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,936 at 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,824 at 30 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 73823.81 / 73936.04 − 1 = -0.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC has 2 decent liquidity clusters right now.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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