Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2060340433708818661:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 May 2026, 12:40 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

Honestly $BTC isn't giving me much confidence on lower time frames here. Hoping we see a bounce soon but I still think low 70ks/ high 60ks is coming next probably. https://t.co/mVtnhntcnS

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,179 at 29 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,588 at 30 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 73588.13 / 73179.34 − 1 = +0.56%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.56% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Honestly $BTC isn't giving me much confidence on lower time frames here.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$73,179

Evaluation price

$73,588

Move

+0.56%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 01:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction