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Published 29 May 2026, 11:53 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC
Rand Group
@randgroup
In reply to · 29 May 2026, 11:44 UTC · context given to the AI
People keep saying oversold can stay oversold. True in 2022 bear market, not true when macro is in a different regime. We had record ETF inflows in April, the halving cycle is intact, and now RSI is printing levels that historically front ran the next leg on bitcoin:native . The sellers are exhausted, not the bulls.@rikurandgroup @FrankAFetter The 2022 comparison breaks down exactly where you said. Oversold in a structural bear with no institutional bid is different from oversold with record ETF inflows and a halving cycle intact. Same indicator, completely different regime. The sellers ran out of fuelView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
Uses only text available at publication time
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