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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 May 2026, 07:20 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Poseidon

@CryptoPoseidonn

In reply to · 29 May 2026, 02:38 UTC · context given to the AI

@CryptoPoseidonn $46k next major support if we drop below $69k. I don’t make the rules, just reporting the weather here Tom.

@CryptoCX1 If btc goes 46k, eth goes to zero

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,004 at 29 May 2026, 08:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,013 at 30 May 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 2013.2 / 2004.11 − 1 = +0.5%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time