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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 May 2026, 17:15 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

That Martini Guy ₿

@MartiniGuyYT

Bitcoin is currently sweeping downside liquidity as it continues to drop lower It could drop a lot further from here if it goes to grab high time frame liquidity towards and below $65,000 https://t.co/SI4eQDnTtX

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,431 at 28 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,867 at 29 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 73866.93 / 73430.6 − 1 = +0.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin is currently sweeping downside liquidity as it continues to drop lower”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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