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Leaderboard / @TedPillows / 2060037734790463562:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 May 2026, 16:37 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Te

Ted

@TedPillows

There are 9x more $ETH shorts than longs now. A bounce in Ethereum makes sense here. https://t.co/XVrq54jVPc

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,010 at 28 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,037 at 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2037.44 / 2010.06 − 1 = +1.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “There are 9x more $ETH shorts than longs now.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$2,010

Evaluation price

$2,037

Move

+1.4%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

11 Nov 2026, 04:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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