Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 May 2026, 12:50 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 28 May 2026, 12:40 UTC · context given to the AI

JUST IN: Bitcoin no longer in top 10 largest assets

@Kalshi Haters will say "I told you so"... bulls will have the last laugh

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@Kalshi Haters will say "I told you so"... bulls will have the last laugh”
Confidence: 61%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (61%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3