Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 May 2026, 09:40 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

CryptoBullet

@CryptoBullet1

In reply to · 28 May 2026, 09:38 UTC · context given to the AI

@CryptoBullet1 Many altcoins that you were bullish on despite everything have also hit new lows, don't forget that 😉

@HakaishinOrigin yeah, it's okay. We're still in a bear market and short term pumps will fade until btc hits the bear market bottom

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,412 at 28 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,636 at 29 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 73635.97 / 73412.26 − 1 = +0.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “We're still in a bear market and short term pumps will fade until btc hits the bear market bottom”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3