Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 May 2026, 19:07 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Quoting · 27 May 2026, 14:25 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: 32% chance Bitcoin hits $100,000 this year 4% chance it happens next month https://t.co/Ef4C2weign

$BTC has lost the 50D MA along with the RSI uptrend. A dump to new lows is more likely to happen than $100,000 now. https://t.co/oDU2Q8RUL1 https://t.co/XZEEqFTGpB

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“$BTC is going down. OI is going up. Funding is going up. Coinbase Premium is negative. You know what happens next. https://t.co/wXNzus7MXR”Repeat27 May 2026, 16:11 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC has lost the 50D MA along with the RSI uptrend.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record