Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,712 at 27 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,431 at 28 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 73430.6 / 74711.66 − 1 = -1.7%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology