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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2059629543925961065:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 May 2026, 13:35 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

honestly $BTC looks pretty weak on the lower time frames, still expecting lower in the short term personally. Hope I'm wrong and we just blast up but this looks like a slow grind down. https://t.co/hJLQmCctan

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,916 at 27 May 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $74,712 at 27 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 74711.66 / 74915.74 − 1 = -0.27%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.27% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 4 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “honestly $BTC looks pretty weak on the lower time frames, still expecting lower in the short term personally.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$74,916

Evaluation price

$74,712

Move

-0.27%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 01:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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