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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 May 2026, 08:34 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC tapped the $75,000 support zone again. The key level is $74,500 where Bitcoin bottomed in April 2025. If BTC loses this zone, the downtrend will accelerate. https://t.co/CDt7BZCHWk

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,759 at 27 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,194 at 28 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 73193.91 / 75758.75 − 1 = -3.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC tapped the $75,000 support zone again.”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

Source post

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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