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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 May 2026, 08:46 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH has now dropped below the $2,100 level. Spot demand continues to weaken, and whales are selling. It seems like Ethereum could make a new low way before Bitcoin. https://t.co/3pVLx8S0yc

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,095 at 26 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,082 at 27 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 2081.87 / 2095.15 − 1 = -0.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH has now dropped below the $2,100 level.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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