Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.02356 at 25 May 2026, 23:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.02163 at 26 May 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.021629042764547142 / 0.023562254872754967 − 1 = -8.2%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -8.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology